Projections of the Aboriginal Population and Households in Canada

Summary of changes

Activity on this program started: 2004

Reference period of change - 2016-2041

Aside from the update of the base population to use more recent data from the 2016 Census and the update of various parameters of the model to take advantage of new data sources and take into account the latest trends, these new projections differ in that more attention was given to uncertainty in the early years of the projection, because it has been shown that many users of Indigenous projections used them for data needs over a very short horizon.

For more information, please refer to the publication: Projections of the Indigenous populations and households in Canada, 2016-2041: Overview of data sources, methods, assumptions and scenarios.

Reference period of change - 2011-2036

Aside from the update of the base population to use more recent data from the National Household Survey and the update of various parameters of the model to take into account the latest trends, numerous changes have been made to Demosim in this new version. These changes include the addition of variables, a review of methods and the addition of modelled events.

For more information, please refer to the publication Demosim: An Overview of Methods and Data Sources.

Reference period of change - 2006-2031

The Population Projections by Aboriginal Identity in Canada were subject to major changes between the series based on the 2001 Census and the 2006 Census. These changes were related to the projected variables, the geography, the methods and the data sources as well as the type of model used.

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